Confidence Interval for a Proportion (1 of 3)
Applying the
general formula for a
confidence interval, the confidence
interval for a proportion, π, is:
p ±
z σ
p
where p is the proportion in the sample, z depends on the level of
confidence desired, and σ
p, the
standard
error of a proportion, is equal to:
where π is
the proportion in the
population and N is
the
sample size. Since π is not known, p
is used to estimate it. Therefore the estimated value of σ
p is:
As an example, consider a researcher wishing to estimate the proportion
of X-ray machines that malfunction and produce excess radiation. A random
sample of 40 machines is taken and 12 of the machines malfunction. The
problem is to compute the 95% confidence interval on π,
the proportion that malfunction in the population.