Power (2 of 3)
The question is, "What is the probability that the experimenter is going
to be able to demonstrate that the null hypothesis is false by rejecting
it at the .05
level?" This is the same thing
as asking "What is the power of the test?" Before the power of the
test can be determined, the
standard deviation (σ)
must be known. If σ = 10 then the power of
the significance test is 0.80. (Click
here to
see how to compute power.) This means that there is a 0.80 probability
that the experimenter will be able to reject the null hypothesis. Since
power = 0.80,
b = 1-.80 = .20.
It is important to keep in mind that power is not about whether or
not the null hypothesis is true (It is assumed to be false). It is
the probability the data gathered in an experiment will be sufficient
to reject the null hypothesis. The experimenter does not know that
the null hypothesis is false. The experimenter asks the question: If
the null hypothesis is false with specified population means and
standard deviation, what is the probability that the data from the
experiment will be sufficient to reject the null hypothesis?